Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-22?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $257,932 open interest and an unusually wide 11¢ spread, suggesting the 59¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The astronomical implied yields (3743% for Yes, 7751% for No) are artifacts of the low liquidity and tight 7-day expiry window rather than genuine arbitrage opportunities. The sharp 12¢ price appreciation over the period combined with neutral regime conditions and high realized volatility (128%) indicate this is a thinly-traded niche market where the current price should be treated with caution until meaningful volume emerges.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If CD Guadalajara wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade