Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?

Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market shows extreme distress signals with zero 24-hour volume despite $275.917 in open interest and a sharp 34-cent price collapse over seven days (44¢ to 30¢), suggesting forced liquidations or position unwinding ahead of the April 22 match.

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27¢
Bid/Ask 26/27¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,939.604·OI $184,953.742·Closes Apr 23, 2026·0d remaining
0x069cd3d04a23d7064bd8a6ef5986876030f0d022806e98a3507f3526441e482c
7-day price22 snapshots · 7 regime
48¢27¢ current
Apr 1321¢Apr 22

Analysis

6d ago

This market shows extreme distress signals with zero 24-hour volume despite $275.917 in open interest and a sharp 34-cent price collapse over seven days (44¢ to 30¢), suggesting forced liquidations or position unwinding ahead of the April 22 match. The astronomical implied yield of 12,568.9% on the Yes side is mathematically unrealistic given the 7-day timeframe and indicates severe illiquidity or pricing dysfunction rather than genuine arbitrage opportunity. With only a 7-cent spread and the game resolving in under a week, this market appears to be in terminal decline with minimal trading activity and should be approached with extreme caution.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Adj IY 48150%
CRI 3
Overround 0.0%
LAS 0.04
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
Adj IY48150%
CRI3
Overround0.0%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 8:22:16 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:24 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x069cd3d04a23d7064bd8a6ef5986876030f0d022806e98a3507f3526441e482c yes 100

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