Club Tijuana vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5

This illiquid micro-market shows extreme pricing distortion with a 24,525% implied yield on the Over position against only $80.57 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, suggesting the 20¢ price may not reflect true probability for a Liga MX matchup. The 7-cent spread and 3,427% realized volatility indicate highly erratic price discovery, while the 4 Cliff Risk Index and imminent 6-day expiry create significant tail risk if the market remains inactive until resolution. The modest 2-cent price decline over 7 days combined with neutral regime suggests limited information flow, making this market potentially mispriced but too thin for reliable directional conviction.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Liga MX game between Club Tijuana and CF Pachuca, scheduled for April 22 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Club Tijuana and CF Pachuca combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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