Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-2.5)

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $153.8k open interest and a wide 26¢ spread, suggesting the 21¢ price may not reflect true market consensus. The astronomical 38,722% implied yield on the Yes side combined with a 1,684% realized volatility and high cliff risk (4/5) indicates this is a highly speculative, low-probability outcome—Club Universitario winning by 3+ goals—with just 4 days to expiration on April 23. The recent price decline from 25¢ to 21¢ over 7 days and 2.1 info arrivals per hour suggest active sentiment shift, but the lack of trading volume makes this market potentially unreliable for position-taking.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Universitario de Deportes" if Club Universitario de Deportes win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CD Garcilaso". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on liga1.pe. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Trade