SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

This contract is priced at 81¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 80¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

81¢
$13K volume
$14K liquidity
63% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$20K

Best sibling

Shannon Bird 19¢

Ticker

0x1f5b9dd8…5b3b

Market snapshot

Manny Rutinel in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?. The displayed quote is 81¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $29. In the CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Manny Rutinel

Family rank

#1 of 6

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

81¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$29

Family context

6 outcomes · CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-81¢

Family leader

Manny Rutinel 81¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: 0x1f5b9dd89471579b5eef1bbee88a966e50a843d7f79e8278a6426ddad1685b3b. Family volume: $20K.

Price history

81¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

80 / 82¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
80¢200
79¢100
77¢7
76¢7
74¢18
49¢190
46¢167
45¢467
AskSize
82¢218
83¢1.1K
84¢1.5K
85¢198
86¢94
88¢200
89¢94
90¢145

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x1f5b9dd8…5b3b

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

165.2%

IY (No)

3003.0%

Adj IY

3003%

CRI

4

RV

145%

VR

1.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

165.2%
3003.0%
Adj IY
3003%
4
RV
145%
VR
1.11
IAR
0.7/h

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