Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with the Yes contract trading at 0¢ despite a 47,367% implied yield, indicating virtually no liquidity or trading activity (zero 24h volume and open interest).
Analysis
This market shows extreme mispricing with the Yes contract trading at 0¢ despite a 47,367% implied yield, indicating virtually no liquidity or trading activity (zero 24h volume and open interest). The 34¢ spread is extraordinarily wide relative to the price, and the market's 18-day expiration combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 24 suggests significant uncertainty about whether the underlying game will even occur as scheduled. The 5,544% realized volatility and sharp price movement from 2¢ to 4¢ over seven days reflect the illiquid, speculative nature of this contract rather than fundamental shifts in Colorado's probability of a 2.5+ goal victory.
Resolution rules
If Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals in the Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR23COLLA-COL2 yes 100