Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals?

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with the Yes contract trading at 0¢ despite a 47,367% implied yield, indicating virtually no liquidity or trading activity (zero 24h volume and open interest).

█████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
23¢
Bid/Ask 23/24¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $3,742.21·OI $3,739.21·Closes May 8, 2026·14d remaining
KXNHLSPREAD-26APR23COLLA-COL2
7-day price223 snapshots · 5 regime
24¢23¢ current
Apr 171¢Apr 23

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme mispricing with the Yes contract trading at 0¢ despite a 47,367% implied yield, indicating virtually no liquidity or trading activity (zero 24h volume and open interest). The 34¢ spread is extraordinarily wide relative to the price, and the market's 18-day expiration combined with a Cliff Risk Index of 24 suggests significant uncertainty about whether the underlying game will even occur as scheduled. The 5,544% realized volatility and sharp price movement from 2¢ to 4¢ over seven days reflect the illiquid, speculative nature of this contract rather than fundamental shifts in Colorado's probability of a 2.5+ goal victory.

Resolution rules

If Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals in the Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 8156.3%
IY (No) 813.4%
Adj IY 4078%
CRI 3
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)8156.3%
IY (No)813.4%
Adj IY4078%
CRI3
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 10:03:55 PM
Indicators computed 4/23/2026, 9:53:13 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR23COLLA-COL2 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions