SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202657 days left

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?

This contract is priced at 95¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 93¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

95¢
$21K volume
$580 liquidity
18% of event volume

Event outcomes

12

Family volume

$117K

Best sibling

$90 63¢

Ticker

0x30cbc771…565b

Price history

95¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

93 / 96¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
93¢20
93¢23
93¢26
85¢13
85¢11
84¢100
83¢200
69¢8
AskSize
96¢10
97¢34
97¢82
99¢96
99¢19
99¢17
100¢11K
100¢144

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x30cbc771…565b

Event family

Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$117K

Outcomes

12

Highest price

$50 98¢

Current share

18%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

33.5%

IY (No)

12097.1%

Adj IY

5857%

CRI

19

Overround

8.1%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

33.5%
12097.1%
Adj IY
5857%
19
Overround
8.1%
LAS
0.03

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