Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
This contract is priced at 30¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 27¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$306
Best sibling
CS Cristal (-2.5) 2¢
Ticker
0x32804cd4…2971
Price history
30¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 32¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for May 5 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CS Cristal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 5, 2026
Identifier
0x32804cd4…2971
Event family
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras - More Markets.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$306
Outcomes
9
Highest price
O/U 1.5 73¢
Current share
0%
SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x32804cd439c1bfca4c202fce84583e79a3c404f6c6991c23b68fdb2698372971
CS Cristal (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xd13fc202d6d76cf340266a832e92de3e9fa469d965718c50218e8c92b8b530fc
CS Cristal (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xfaa9e3aad297692328fb6209ca47781ac3957e835eda579a113bd8745f22cc5a
SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
polymarket · 0x56031e4fd8f85ab1ef6acfe6bf455fa80486505d672c7fa32ade47ef005c4746
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0x7b3618cc383dee32b5928783e21910b64d9ee9e8871dccdbe77b4683d145b693
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0x6c1549b4f18c127ba75daebe83e34495d6143b3c1255994e597bb51932b9222e
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0x53c14f110455aa30b1baf8ecadf89cb258aa7ea917f853b89774c464acbe56ac
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0xddd281fea164268b7a430b9b264ba88f9c5927b2e82311c6c8d976912a063d6c
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0x8b5451274c64477bcff83d70ee4344ff92dc476aa0d1b1ee30f39bdade2aa1df
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook
Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 30% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.