Dallas wins by over 2.5 goals?

Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Dallas wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 15¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, indicating it has failed to attract liquidity despite a wide 61¢ spread.

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15¢
Bid/Ask 14/15¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $872.97·OI $872.97·Closes May 9, 2026·14d remaining
KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25DALMIN-DAL2
7-day price399 snapshots · 7 regime
15¢14¢ current
Apr 191¢Apr 24

Analysis

7d ago

This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, indicating it has failed to attract liquidity despite a wide 61¢ spread. The 0¢ price implies the market maker has assigned essentially zero probability to Dallas winning by more than 2.5 goals, which is unusually bearish for a sports betting outcome and suggests either extremely low confidence in Dallas's offensive capability or potential data issues. With the game originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 but the market closing May 9, 2026, there's a timing discrepancy worth verifying—the resolution date appears to be after the game date, which could indicate a postponement or data error.

Resolution rules

If Dallas wins by over 2.5 goals in the Dallas at Minnesota professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 15927.7%
IY (No) 422.1%
Adj IY 7395%
CRI 6
Overround -0.1%
LAS 0.07
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)15927.7%
IY (No)422.1%
Adj IY7395%
CRI6
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.07

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 7:45:34 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:38:50 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25DALMIN-DAL2 yes 100

Related concepts

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