Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
This contract is priced at 1¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
12
Family volume
$1.1M
Best sibling
Gerry Hutch 5¢
Ticker
0x05ce43fb…98c2
Market snapshot
Ian Noel Smyth in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $296. In the Dublin-Central By-Election Winner family, this outcome ranks #7 of 12 by current quote across 12 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:47 AM UTC.
Outcome
Ian Noel Smyth
Family rank
#7 of 12
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
1¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$296
Family context
12 outcomes · Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
Quote range
0¢-74¢
Family leader
Daniel Ennis 74¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:47 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0x05ce43fb8fc6b2f2b418f773bdac67bdf26f88806b158f0dbdfdedfd536398c2. Family volume: $1.1M.
Price history
1¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x05ce43fb…98c2
Event family
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1.1M
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Daniel Ennis 74¢
Current share
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
polymarket · 0x05ce43fb8fc6b2f2b418f773bdac67bdf26f88806b158f0dbdfdedfd536398c2
Gerry Hutch
polymarket · 0xbddb91830ef5d16ab6d4282d58fda2df4886f5978e476399b40040b786e526fa
Gillian Sherratt
polymarket · 0x744e180f08a452abb2917dba5be6a915ea7079994fd9006e19aed0f5ac88a52f
John Stephens
polymarket · 0xbce03e14c6874e6dee01715a572c2dc995e2ca235b7b09fd39aa90b9cb63ee2b
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
polymarket · 0xeccd56699ee56764545aa1192b4efa17f540b7c0d8c409b6ede1c6f3c7054bdd
Mary Fitzpatrick
polymarket · 0xa3f4b6e12e18b52b3f5450ce9ea8e05dc205d3add7469d76716d52bdce9f548a
Ray McAdam
polymarket · 0x961e13143b5f31ba9ac5db5e846230eb4e5ba59510f27b76dc6335dbaf9bd700
Daniel Ennis
polymarket · 0xc160ac2b2b5f9a500cc4893611c65e45f50c4b8dbd204a2e8675329261373b0a
Malachy Steenson
polymarket · 0x7aaa3b65947713a2de8c84da098fed1072fdd2be6db8a0d1d905323f027d753c
Janice Boylan
polymarket · 0xc5c7e75579ebc7dd442e3a0bc40e47cbfcb641666ad3f8ea0bea24ae51d7523a
Janet Horner
polymarket · 0x1c559b452c2a451b170f5d209b3c46e81b2d3379e27ecb91a8331475a4625e8c
Séamas McGrattan
polymarket · 0xce9e1f6eaad809a6ceb725d6afb29fe533a037abaaf91051360e6a478b22aba3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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