SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 6, 20262 days left

Will Matsumoto Yamaga FC win on 2026-05-06?

This contract is priced at 36¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 8¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 55¢ spread.

Implied probability

36¢
$0 volume
$766 liquidity

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

FC Gifu 43¢

Ticker

0x992a3f1a…3909

Price history

36¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 63¢

Polymarket
55¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.9K
8¢69
7¢261
6¢500
4¢10
3¢200
2¢1.3K
AskSize
63¢18
64¢69
73¢141
79¢81
80¢45
81¢58
82¢324
84¢94

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 6, 2026 If Matsumoto Yamaga FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

0x992a3f1a…3909

Event family

FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

FC Gifu 43¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.20

IAR

0.5/h

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.20
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Conceptmethodology

Cross-Venue Convergence Dynamics: Why Kalshi and Polymarket Converge — and When They Don't

Why the same outcome on Kalshi and Polymarket usually trades within 2-5 cents — and the three specific things that cause the gap to widen. Diagnostic guide and worked convergence trade.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index