Iwaki FC vs. FC Gifu
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 40% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
40%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Top contract
33¢
$0 · Polymarket
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC” vs “RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5)
0x17df3f…3a78
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x0aa172…3ef6
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: FC Gifu
0x55f8ff…ccff
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)
0x1852d1…1f72
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: Draw (FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC)
0x6ff136…16a3
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: Matsumoto Yamaga FC
0x992a3f…3909
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x14ea88…f55f
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x99c503…6f42
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: FC Gifu (-1.5)
0xc2a30a…e6c8
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xe897e5…45d0
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: FC Gifu (-2.5)
0x357eb0…5b1a
FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3a2525…2e6c
Cluster 2
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2195c5…48b0
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC: Iwaki FC
0x3cb1b6…5a45
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC: RB Ōmiya Ardija
0xa076ba…2f3d
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xbb1f4e…b486
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x0f34a8…10f8
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: Iwaki FC (-2.5)
0x129775…a1cd
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5)
0x8e56cc…7711
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x728f89…870a
What moved the line
- May 3Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5)↑4pp33→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Gifu (-2.5)↑4pp32→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 3FC Gifu (-1.5)↑3pp39→42¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 9 min ago.