Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This contract is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 26¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$116K
Best sibling
Netherlands 55¢
Ticker
0xde6e8331…6801
Price history
28¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
26 / 30¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
0xde6e8331…6801
Event family
FIFA World Cup Group F Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$116K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Netherlands 55¢
Current share
34%
Japan
polymarket · 0xde6e8331eaaf0b212f688a04f6c4ff5f895ab633a467cb3e9f3da48fce7c6801
Netherlands
polymarket · 0x9ad73ff7534b1051e2dad167a0b1617ae20f64f20770ae8bf89a59a7a7290669
Sweden
polymarket · 0x8bd82f13e633448c85e5c79428afcbf2b15bdb1e3c9f6ddbea62cb164f6fb23e
Tunisia
polymarket · 0xeb021bae39c99ec2915555e9463bc6b9f14606da6257adab38ee9eb47b3ee17b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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