Floyd Mayweather Jr to win Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao
Floyd Mayweather Jr. is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner.
Price history
66¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Floyd Mayweather Jr. wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Floyd Mayweather Jr. 64¢
Range
34¢-64¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXBOXING-26SEP19FMAYMPAC-FMAY
May 28, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner
Closes
Oct 4, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Floyd Mayweather Jr. wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 4, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26SEP19FMAYMPAC-FMAY
Event family
Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Floyd Mayweather Jr. 64¢
Current share
55%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.