Manny Pacquiao to win Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao
Manny Pacquiao is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner.
Price history
36¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Manny Pacquiao wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Manny Pacquiao
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Floyd Mayweather Jr. 64¢
Range
34¢-64¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXBOXING-26SEP19FMAYMPAC-MPAC
May 28, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner
Closes
Oct 4, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Manny Pacquiao wins the Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 4, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26SEP19FMAYMPAC-MPAC
Event family
Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Floyd Mayweather Jr. 64¢
Current share
45%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.