Game 2: Orlando at Detroit Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Game 2: Orlando at Detroit Winner?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite an 18-day window to expiration.

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31¢
Bid/Ask 29/31¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $7,197,348.37·OI $6,964,546.65·Closes May 6, 2026·14d remaining
KXNBAGAME-26APR22ORLDET-ORL
7-day price61 snapshots · 70 regime
27¢26¢ current
Apr 1814¢Apr 22

Analysis

4d ago

This market exhibits severe illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite an 18-day window to expiration. The 0¢ price paired with an astronomical 12,424.6% implied yield on the Yes side and a 28¢ spread suggests the market is either stale or experiencing a data anomaly, as legitimate NBA playoff odds would never trade at zero probability. The high Cliff Risk Index of 6 and the fact that the original game date (April 22, 2026) appears to have already passed relative to the current close date (May 6, 2026) raises questions about whether this contract has already resolved or contains scheduling information errors.

Resolution rules

If Orlando wins the Game 2: Orlando at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10456.2%
IY (No) 653.5%
Adj IY 4967%
CRI 4
LAS 0.05
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10456.2%
IY (No)653.5%
Adj IY4967%
CRI4
LAS0.05

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/23/2026, 12:06:50 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 11:53:24 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBAGAME-26APR22ORLDET-ORL yes 100

Related concepts

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