SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 26, 202614 days left

Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

61¢
$428K volume
$337K liquidity
27% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$1.6M

Best sibling

Detroit 39¢

Ticker

KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE

Market snapshot

Cleveland in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?. The displayed quote is 61¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $383K. In the Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Cleveland

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

61¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 26, 2026

24h volume

$383K

Family context

2 outcomes · Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner

Quote range

39¢-60¢

Family leader

Cleveland 60¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE. Family volume: $1.6M.

Price history

61¢ current

+48¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 61¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
60¢47K
59¢124K
58¢540K
57¢133K
56¢2.9K
AskSize
61¢2.7M
62¢2.7M
63¢99K
64¢8.9K
65¢3.3K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Cleveland wins the Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 26, 2026

Identifier

KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE

SF Signal
SF Index
3785.11
Regime
neutral

Event family

Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1.6M

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Cleveland 60¢

Current share

23%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1710.8%

IY (No)

3849.4%

Adj IY

3785%

CRI

2

RV

155%

VR

0.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1710.8%
3849.4%
Adj IY
3785%
2
RV
155%
VR
0.36
IAR
0.5/h
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.