Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?
This contract is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$1.6M
Best sibling
Cleveland 60¢
Ticker
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-DET
Market snapshot
Detroit in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1.2M. In the Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Detroit
Family rank
#2 of 2
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
40¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 26, 2026
24h volume
$1.2M
Family context
2 outcomes · Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner
Quote range
39¢-60¢
Family leader
Cleveland 60¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-DET. Family volume: $1.6M.
Price history
40¢ current
+27¢Orderbook snapshot
39 / 40¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Detroit wins the Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 26, 2026
Identifier
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-DET
Event family
Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1.6M
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Cleveland 60¢
Current share
76%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 40% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.