Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
This contract is priced at 70¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 68¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$71K
Best sibling
85% 26¢
Ticker
0xb7a1b28c…7411
Market snapshot
80% in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?. The displayed quote is 70¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $201. In the How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
80%
Family rank
#1 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
70¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
24h volume
$201
Family context
3 outcomes · How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
Quote range
11¢-70¢
Family leader
80% 70¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: 0xb7a1b28cb65a04d03ec66047dba56d05a4b101bae51222ae82f82febeb5c7411. Family volume: $71K.
Price history
70¢ current
−7¢Orderbook snapshot
68 / 72¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xb7a1b28c…7411
Event family
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$71K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
80% 70¢
Current share
39%
80%
polymarket · 0xb7a1b28cb65a04d03ec66047dba56d05a4b101bae51222ae82f82febeb5c7411
85%
polymarket · 0x1cfa011b48b27e06aa489362886d8ecdd170e5a2e91b78f52697fcd54cb7be0d
90%
polymarket · 0xcff7f29133a7eb9682e6887c75b4f394fd12c96bb30327fa8610343f2b086217
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes
When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle
Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 70% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.