SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

This contract is priced at 70¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 68¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

70¢
$28K volume
$1K liquidity
39% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$71K

Best sibling

85% 26¢

Ticker

0xb7a1b28c…7411

Market snapshot

80% in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?. The displayed quote is 70¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $201. In the How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

80%

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

70¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$201

Family context

3 outcomes · How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

Quote range

11¢-70¢

Family leader

80% 70¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0xb7a1b28cb65a04d03ec66047dba56d05a4b101bae51222ae82f82febeb5c7411. Family volume: $71K.

Price history

70¢ current

7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 22, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

68 / 72¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
68¢8
65¢70
61¢50
56¢37
55¢16
50¢200
45¢50
39¢185
AskSize
72¢24
73¢609
74¢171
78¢50
79¢77
89¢73
90¢90
92¢29

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0xb7a1b28c…7411

Event family

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$71K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

80% 70¢

Current share

39%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

302.8%

IY (No)

1648.6%

Adj IY

777%

CRI

2

Overround

0.1%

LAS

0.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

302.8%
1648.6%
Adj IY
777%
2
Overround
0.1%
LAS
0.06

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