How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
At least 5 15¢
Ticker
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-15
Market snapshot
At least 15 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6K. In the How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?: At least family, this outcome ranks #5 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
At least 15
Family rank
#5 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Feb 1, 2027
Reported volume
$6K
Family context
7 outcomes · How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?: At least
Quote range
2¢-15¢
Family leader
At least 5 15¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-15. Family volume: —.
Price history
8¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 8¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Elon Musk supports at least 15 non-incumbents who win Congressional seats in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Identifier
KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-15
Event family
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?: At least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
At least 5 15¢
Current share
—
At least 15
kalshi · KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-15
At least 5
kalshi · KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-5
At least 10
kalshi · KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-10
At least 20
kalshi · KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-20
At least 25
kalshi · KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-25
At least 50
kalshi · KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-50
At least 100
kalshi · KXMUSKCHALLENGERS-26-100
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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