SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026

Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?

This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

0¢
$5K volume
$8K liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$101K

Best sibling

700-800k 0¢

Ticker

0x451ba208…f69b

Market snapshot

900k-1m in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?. The displayed quote is 0¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $50. In the How many people will Trump deport in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #8 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:07 AM UTC.

Outcome

900k-1m

Family rank

#8 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$50

Family context

10 outcomes · How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Quote range

0¢-51¢

Family leader

300-400k 51¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:07 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0x451ba208a7154c5f7fa204db8e32d2ee86f313377f6074b50c72294ed1def69b. Family volume: $101K.

Price history

0¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 21, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢100K
0¢6.1K
0¢2.8K
AskSize
0¢571
2¢6
2¢32
2¢163
3¢6
100¢6
100¢100
100¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x451ba208…f69b

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.477

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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