Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
This contract is priced at 48¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 46¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$147K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0xff68b32e…58df
Market snapshot
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?. The displayed quote is 48¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $617. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
48¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$617
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: 0xff68b32e6543ae8b44ccb520604b6ea224a1bac071a186fb65f6f40949a758df. Family volume: $147K.
Price history
48¢ current
−8¢Orderbook snapshot
46 / 49¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xff68b32e…58df
Event family
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$147K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31 48¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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