SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

This contract is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 26¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$848K volume
$24K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$848K

Best sibling

Ticker

0x9d3f0226…75c7

Market snapshot

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $40K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$40K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: 0x9d3f02264a94bafc676afd7add8b11442e6ec72dabaa69cefef835f0672275c7. Family volume: $848K.

Price history

28¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 29¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
26¢814
25¢963
24¢770
23¢146
22¢200
20¢200
19¢1.0K
18¢767
AskSize
29¢31
30¢28
31¢405
32¢427
33¢200
34¢211
35¢100
38¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x9d3f0226…75c7

Event family

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$848K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30 28¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1819.4%

IY (No)

275.2%

Adj IY

1625%

CRI

3

RV

552%

VR

1.53

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

1819.4%
275.2%
Adj IY
1625%
3
RV
552%
VR
1.53
IAR
1.6/h
LAS
0.11

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