Iran coup attempt by June 30?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$741K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x17c9dead…e64b
Market snapshot
Iran coup attempt by June 30 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Iran coup attempt by June 30?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Iran coup attempt by June 30
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: 0x17c9dead8bed402d330e2aa5bcfb4d6f7764d3cc60d6508a03be003f4e88e64b. Family volume: $741K.
Price history
8¢ current
−7¢Orderbook snapshot
7 / 8¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x17c9dead…e64b
Event family
Iran coup attempt by June 30.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$741K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Iran coup attempt by June 30 8¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
low
Event type
political
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