Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb Winner?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market exhibits severe illiquidity dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a 5¢ spread, suggesting the contract may be effectively untraded.
Analysis
This market exhibits severe illiquidity dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and open interest despite a 5¢ spread, suggesting the contract may be effectively untraded. The astronomical 50,829.8% implied yield on the Yes side combined with extreme realized volatility of 3,049% indicates severe mispricing or a data anomaly, as these figures are economically implausible for a soccer match with 17 days to expiry. The match was originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 but the market closes May 6, 2026—a critical discrepancy suggesting potential resolution ambiguity that warrants clarification before any position entry.
Resolution rules
If Istra 1961 wins the Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Zagreb professional Croatia HNL soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXHNLGAME-26APR22ISTDIN-IST yes 100