Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31 is priced at 37¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 34¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
37¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Outcome
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$137K
Identifier
0xbb1e75fe...8463
Jun 24, 2026, 9:35 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$334
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$137K
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xbb1e75fe…8463
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$137K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31 37¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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