Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?
This contract is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$5K
Best sibling
June 30 16¢
Ticker
0x049136c0…adfe
Market snapshot
May 31 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $92. In the Kimi K3 released by…? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
May 31
Family rank
#2 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
7¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 31, 2026
24h volume
$92
Family context
2 outcomes · Kimi K3 released by…?
Quote range
7¢-16¢
Family leader
June 30 16¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: 0x049136c0b43ffdeb87b809d86b1e7118385247c99b4f4ed2e5489e07658badfe. Family volume: $5K.
Price history
7¢ current
−35¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”. Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x049136c0…adfe
Event family
Kimi K3 released by….
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
June 30 16¢
Current share
35%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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