SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 26¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$7K volume
$13K liquidity
26% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$28K

Best sibling

June 30, 2026 2¢

Ticker

0x50084866…5cc8

Market snapshot

December 31, 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $30. In the Lecornu out as French PM by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

December 31, 2026

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$30

Family context

2 outcomes · Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Quote range

2¢-28¢

Family leader

December 31, 2026 28¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: 0x5008486648e1504fc35d468ab774f4e081b9f93f6879840519656af94bdf5cc8. Family volume: $28K.

Price history

28¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 30¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
26¢85
25¢115
21¢10
12¢158
11¢82
10¢99
9¢166
8¢262
AskSize
30¢6
32¢10
53¢40
54¢20
57¢209
60¢354
61¢508
63¢250

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x50084866…5cc8

Event family

Lecornu out as French PM by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$28K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

December 31, 2026 28¢

Current share

26%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

398.1%
60.2%
Adj IY
199%
3

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