SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 2, 202629 days left

Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$59K volume
$17K liquidity
6% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$1.0M

Best sibling

Rick Caruso 0¢

Ticker

0xcc88b1c4…c64d

Price history

3¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢62
100¢16
2¢189
2¢10
2¢385
2¢93
2¢86
2¢30
AskSize
3¢10
3¢5.0K
3¢30
4¢200
4¢163
6¢261
7¢118
7¢214

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 2, 2026

Identifier

0xcc88b1c4…c64d

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at .

View counterpart

Event family

Los Angeles Mayoral Election.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1.0M

Outcomes

11

Highest price

Nithya Raman 56¢

Current share

6%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

40499.9%

IY (No)

38.7%

Adj IY

20250%

CRI

32

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

40499.9%
38.7%
Adj IY
20250%
32
Overround
0.0%

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