Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Polymarket, closing June 2, 2026.

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13¢
Bid/Ask 12/14¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $25.029·OI $42,033.698·Closes Jun 2, 2026·41d remaining
0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606
7-day price249 snapshots · 77 regime
35¢13¢ current
Apr 810¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 14¢-1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 551.5%Close-time delta 8774h

Resolution rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5963.2%
IY (No) 133.1%
Adj IY 2523%
CRI 7
Overround -0.1%
LAS 0.15
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)5963.2%
IY (No)133.1%
Adj IY2523%
CRI7
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.15

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:56:13 AM
Observability lowEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x5a965e943de13a4bdef4fb568d94341a751f02a2f652fa4fb8377d8b02f84606 yes 100

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