Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
This contract is priced at 12¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$155K
Best sibling
May 31 11¢
Ticker
0x8d6e53e9…81fc
Price history
12¢ current
−52¢Orderbook snapshot
11 / 13¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x8d6e53e9…81fc
Event family
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$155K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
June 30 12¢
Current share
39%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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