What is the current probability for "MBA Moscow vs BC Uniks Kazan Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 93¢ (93% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 12, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "MBA Moscow vs BC Uniks Kazan Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 499.0% and 11893.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "MBA Moscow vs BC Uniks Kazan Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

MBA Moscow vs BC Uniks Kazan Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 93% probability that MBA Moscow vs BC Uniks Kazan Winner?. This contract trades at 93¢ on Kalshi, closing May 12, 2026.

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93¢

Bid/Ask 83/93¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $70·OI $70·Closes May 12, 2026·15d remaining

KXVTBGAME-26APR281200MBAUNI-UNI

7-day price93 snapshots · 6 regime

88¢83¢ current

Apr 252¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If BC Uniks Kazan wins the MBA Moscow vs BC Uniks Kazan professional Russia VTB United League basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.0%

IY (No) 11893.9%

Adj IY 10461%

CRI 5

RV 4493%

VR 8.51

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	499.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11893.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10461%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	4493%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	8.51	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.12	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

10¢

Computed

4/27/2026, 4:34:46 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/27/2026, 4:23:54 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXVTBGAME-26APR281200MBAUNI-UNI yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →