Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
This contract is priced at 23¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 22¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$14K
Best sibling
Joe Baldacci 61¢
Ticker
0xdae8b5b3…cfb2
Market snapshot
Matthew Dunlap in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?. The displayed quote is 23¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Matthew Dunlap
Family rank
#2 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
23¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 9, 2026
Reported volume
$4K
Family context
5 outcomes · ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-61¢
Family leader
Joe Baldacci 61¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: 0xdae8b5b3c2f5316fd6007b1faee1f3ad0d715f4fd3b0f83b3b0751c21292cfb2. Family volume: $14K.
Price history
23¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
22 / 24¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 9, 2026
Identifier
0xdae8b5b3…cfb2
Event family
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Joe Baldacci 61¢
Current share
27%
Matthew Dunlap
polymarket · 0xdae8b5b3c2f5316fd6007b1faee1f3ad0d715f4fd3b0f83b3b0751c21292cfb2
Joe Baldacci
polymarket · 0xb6f26187d7459a50e69881a10ec6b08c4c0ec028ad026de8318378959aed6b50
Jordan Wood
polymarket · 0xd35e2b189a895c0a4dc9e2884a2cafaec0cadaefc08be06502e13eb0950e49ab
Jared Golden
polymarket · 0x100c115dd2e12e0f4e1822c30529ca1c5f9249c68b5c2ac806488ff1d96f25f0
Paige Loud
polymarket · 0xf3afda6eb828ff243bf82f3bc774057c8bbe3bdd87b7aea25fc80d960489ab98
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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