SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 6, 20263 days left

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs?

This contract is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

38¢
$37K volume
$28K liquidity
22% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$172K

Best sibling

Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs 29¢

Ticker

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031245TORMIN-MIN2

Price history

38¢ current

+9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 42¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
39¢2.7K
38¢16K
37¢375
32¢200
31¢342
AskSize
42¢766
43¢18K
45¢1.0K
51¢25
53¢10

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Toronto vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 12:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031245TORMIN-MIN2

Event family

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031245TORMIN.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$172K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs 41¢

Current share

19%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.35

IAR

0.8/h

Overround

0.6%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.35
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
0.6%
LAS
0.03

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index