Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals?

Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, indicating no liquidity despite a 59¢ spread—suggesting the contract may not have launched or attracted participants.

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22¢
Bid/Ask 20/22¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $4,077.6·OI $3,959.6·Closes May 9, 2026·14d remaining
KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25DALMIN-MIN2
7-day price225 snapshots · 6 regime
22¢20¢ current
Apr 191¢Apr 25

Analysis

6d ago

This market shows zero trading activity with $0 volume and open interest, indicating no liquidity despite a 59¢ spread—suggesting the contract may not have launched or attracted participants. The 0¢ price implies near-zero probability of Minnesota winning by 2.5+ goals, which seems extreme for a professional hockey matchup and may reflect the absence of any bids rather than genuine market consensus. With the game originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 but the market closing May 9, 2026, there's a timing discrepancy worth investigating—the game may have already occurred or been postponed, potentially explaining the complete market inactivity.

Resolution rules

If Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals in the Dallas at Minnesota professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 10371.5%
IY (No) 648.2%
Adj IY 4667%
CRI 4
Overround -0.1%
LAS 0.10
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)10371.5%
IY (No)648.2%
Adj IY4667%
CRI4
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.10

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
4/25/2026, 7:31:05 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 7:38:50 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25DALMIN-MIN2 yes 100

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