What is the current probability for "Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 24, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 81.3% and 84965.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $442,584.4·OI $220,297.85·Closes Apr 24, 2026·14d remaining

KXNBASPREAD-26APR23DENMIN-MIN5

7-day price56 snapshots · 17 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 2126¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Minnesota wins the Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 by more than 5.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 81.3%

IY (No) 84965.2%

Adj IY 82340%

CRI 32

RV 539%

VR 3.50

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	81.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	84965.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	82340%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	539%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.50	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	2.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.03	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 4:56:04 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 4:08:13 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBASPREAD-26APR23DENMIN-MIN5 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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