Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals?
Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 55,744.5% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 55,744.5% implied yield on the Yes side. The 60¢ spread is exceptionally wide for a binary contract, and the Cliff Risk Index of 32 suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics or event timing—particularly notable given the original April 26 date versus the May 10 close, indicating possible game postponement or rescheduling complications. With only 21 days to expiry and no trading activity, this appears to be a stale or abandoned market that should be approached with extreme caution.
Resolution rules
If Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals in the Tampa Bay at Montreal professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR26TBMTL-MTL1 yes 100