New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs?
This contract is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$455K
Best sibling
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs 57¢
Ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-NYY3
Price history
46¢ current
+13¢Orderbook snapshot
46 / 47¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If New York Y wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Baltimore vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 6, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-NYY3
Event family
KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$455K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs 57¢
Current share
15%
New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs
kalshi · KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-NYY3
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-NYY2
New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-NYY4
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-BAL2
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-BAL4
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 runs
kalshi · KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031335BALNYY-BAL3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 46% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.