Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?
This contract is priced at 96¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 93¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$27K
Best sibling
$300M 63¢
Ticker
0xea87df32…4c01
Market snapshot
$20M in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 96¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $9K. In the Nexus FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
$20M
Family rank
#2 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
96¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2028
Reported volume
$9K
Family context
7 outcomes · Nexus FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Quote range
12¢-97¢
Family leader
$50M 97¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: 0xea87df3264208ab356e2abb37fcb2104522443cbfa869a9921e9c057dec14c01. Family volume: $27K.
Price history
96¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
93 / 99¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Nexus's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Nexus (https://x.com/NexusLabs) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
0xea87df32…4c01
Event family
Nexus FDV above ___ one day after launch.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$27K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
$50M 97¢
Current share
32%
$20M
polymarket · 0xea87df3264208ab356e2abb37fcb2104522443cbfa869a9921e9c057dec14c01
$300M
polymarket · 0x60723981d8d9aa01e239ede9e83ca833eeca564cc73023e38af3a2e7872fcd2b
$200M
polymarket · 0x36f4d1baa9f6d28936b768ead23cb4fb146f82e3f6efec19b771905e8c3a9987
$100M
polymarket · 0xc88b7a1bdd9824f94bf4b425b69557ab9aa468f1959302a8b73de3e835d06ff5
$50M
polymarket · 0x39b7997aff494d5c9cc921bfd7576c0aeaff6ec98a9a5dd8572391e9769b2b4e
$800M
polymarket · 0xc8ffdf3d1a06c14514cfaddb83c7827cc8df40bbf2d9ccf50eebac27c815dec5
$500M
polymarket · 0x7887d9f46ddc07ce57a9070509a8dec881b6efc1211303c3fa18eb4c3729d9d0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
Read 96% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.