SimpleFunctions

Dallas Cowboys · NFL Champion 2027

Dallas Cowboys is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside NFL Champion 2027.

Price history

3¢ current

47¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 7, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Dallas Cowboys

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Baltimore Ravens 7¢

Range

1¢-7¢

Family volume

$19.1M

Identifier

0x93158447...cbfd

May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · NFL Champion 2027

Closes

Mar 31, 2027

Family volume

$19.1M

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 3¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
3¢1.5K
3¢20
3¢23K
3¢967
3¢480
3¢1.5K
3¢161
3¢156
AskSize
3¢14K
4¢124
4¢1.1K
4¢83
4¢352
4¢1.2K
4¢6.5K
5¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Mar 31, 2027

Identifier

0x93158447…cbfd

SF Signal
SF Index
1927.23
Regime
neutral

Event family

NFL Champion 2027.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$19.1M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Baltimore Ravens 7¢

Current share

4%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Baltimore Ravens

polymarket · 0xbd1d0889e5037c451bb1e45163749786fe4acc10af2ab40477e7052766054712

7¢
$826K$2K

Kansas City Chiefs

polymarket · 0xee307e0609e90bd64e7bb75135662091ff438b043031d79337a67b4d1f54763d

7¢
$786K$8840.0

Philadelphia Eagles

polymarket · 0xe22296145ee2a1415536e271bd38371e53d7577bcb446c5d61cb615c5ae282c6

5¢
$794K$9880.0

Detroit Lions

polymarket · 0x69a24b337ef9c44ef2cda8ddc69bf32cba38dec05846c26071d6bba43e9f7834

4¢
$771K$3K0.0

Cincinnati Bengals

polymarket · 0xd855563532f3fc1326ff9965890733a3df564a83d0ad18d459368bf9307a376b

3¢
$847K$2K0.3

Green Bay Packers

polymarket · 0x04816f7f30a810111bd4e3d7e06952889f81f280f23370f2ff59323d9a202cca

3¢
$784K$2K

Dallas Cowboys

polymarket · 0x93158447b78290c1abb5ccf3e025dd03290865972b3fc9c8d2803aa64ae1cbfd

3¢
$723K$2K

Carolina Panthers

polymarket · 0x1dd5f687b0f7aaa76ac2d2f2ea328ed825902e835a44cb4fa22f6c89848c26fb

1¢
$3.4M$6K

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

polymarket · 0x2abc2ca23b04c1d8e170b33f1de93937eec740bf5b3e9309e250f3562f1a166b

1¢
$3.3M$17K

New York Jets

polymarket · 0x508c917d0ee4a7a5535e825c3f85ee47d27fc1e72f88475d88daa4877da2a9d0

1¢
$1.5M$3K

New Orleans Saints

polymarket · 0x850c5df4f71fbe41414e71df71213453a97615742a6194e42600015e2c255800

1¢
$1.0M$1K

Cleveland Browns

polymarket · 0xe7531981b81b96bbfb47af1fc6d45c1430543f928c154011651cf7df62f4160c

1¢
$1.0M$1K

Miami Dolphins

polymarket · 0x811e51a7acf39eeb9757f87d71624c0dbc2e12992c58419dddb8c6b4cb339df8

1¢
$932K$7K

Las Vegas Raiders

polymarket · 0xc771628162ee0100dc74e1c71c14ed067c3cc0f90e85e9f2c1038a33967c52a5

1¢
$879K$0

Arizona Cardinals

polymarket · 0x966db8fe4ecd031b6e83a02e681a86f7f235eab8e66c0dbbeb35e8c3518e168f

1¢
$843K$477

Tennessee Titans

polymarket · 0x5a24b05ba7478b8eab4a26475321ef66eabd2c715e5aa2f0e30d2f13e9a5f17d

1¢
$783K$5K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3854.5%

IY (No)

3.7%

Adj IY

1927%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

3854.5%
3.7%
Adj IY
1927%
32
Overround
-0.1%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmacro

US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle

Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Ambiguity Score: Quantifying Rule-Risk Per Market

A heuristic 0-10 score for the rule risk on a prediction market, based on edge case count, venue dispute history, and source-of-truth specificity. The pre-trade discipline that catches Polymarket UMA disputes and Kalshi rule-mismatches before they catch you.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.