Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing March 31, 2027. The Ravens are priced at an extremely depressed 6¢ with an exceptional 1640% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either significant market inefficiency or deep skepticism about Baltimore's Super Bowl prospects.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 5/5¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $11,458.368·OI $349,202.674·Closes Mar 31, 2027·343d remaining
0xbd1d0889e5037c451bb1e45163749786fe4acc10af2ab40477e7052766054712
7-day price30 snapshots · 99 regime
6¢5¢ current
Apr 145¢Apr 19

Analysis

5d ago

The Ravens are priced at an extremely depressed 6¢ with an exceptional 1640% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either significant market inefficiency or deep skepticism about Baltimore's Super Bowl prospects. With $351k in open interest and $8.8k daily volume, liquidity is moderate but the zero spread indicates tight pricing despite the outsized yield opportunity. The 16 Cliff Risk Index and 349-day timeframe to resolution mean this market carries substantial execution risk, as injuries, trades, or roster deterioration could dramatically shift the Ravens' championship odds before February 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2020.9%
IY (No) 5.6%
Adj IY 1010%
CRI 19
Overround -0.2%
LAS 0.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2020.9%
IY (No)5.6%
Adj IY1010%
CRI19
Overround-0.2%
LAS0.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:20:40 PM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xbd1d0889e5037c451bb1e45163749786fe4acc10af2ab40477e7052766054712 yes 100

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