SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 23, 202645 days left

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

This contract is priced at 27¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 25¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

27¢
$8K volume
$16K liquidity
8% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$94K

Best sibling

Kristen Gonzalez 0¢

Ticker

0xdc00146a…bb11

Market snapshot

Antonio Reynoso in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?. The displayed quote is 27¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $8K. In the NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Antonio Reynoso

Family rank

#2 of 9

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

27¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 23, 2026

Reported volume

$8K

Family context

9 outcomes · NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-72¢

Family leader

Claire Valdez 72¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0xdc00146a77dbe0f17e69b4c5d71e9358b0e9eaae4908ab993e0fff0c566abb11. Family volume: $94K.

Price history

27¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 28¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
25¢100
24¢380
23¢84
20¢179
19¢100
18¢46
10¢158
9¢357
AskSize
28¢432
29¢438
35¢150
36¢40
38¢6
41¢100
45¢500
56¢205

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 23, 2026

Identifier

0xdc00146a…bb11

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2209.7%

IY (No)

302.3%

Adj IY

1964%

CRI

3

RV

377%

VR

0.79

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

2209.7%
302.3%
Adj IY
1964%
3
RV
377%
VR
0.79
IAR
1.0/h
LAS
0.11

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