Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
This contract is priced at 83¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 81¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$12K
Best sibling
Dan Goldman 19¢
Ticker
0x3ad92107…d29f
Market snapshot
Brad Lander in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?. The displayed quote is 83¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Brad Lander
Family rank
#1 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
83¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 23, 2026
Reported volume
$5K
Family context
5 outcomes · NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-82¢
Family leader
Brad Lander 82¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: 0x3ad92107dbab2fdf45b0ed92dc5a7f721210759a648ae53fe363e26e3f62d29f. Family volume: $12K.
Price history
83¢ current
−3¢Orderbook snapshot
81 / 83¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
0x3ad92107…d29f
Event family
NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Brad Lander 82¢
Current share
42%
Brad Lander
polymarket · 0x3ad92107dbab2fdf45b0ed92dc5a7f721210759a648ae53fe363e26e3f62d29f
Dan Goldman
polymarket · 0x8294f5eaebd9699d10c62965a17015b6b59bb2a5dfe96063e17b7125885c2499
Alexa Avilés
polymarket · 0x501fff7cf47033b30139eea20604a349fae37d88d8944d24750fc8836a77c621
Cameron Kasky
polymarket · 0x5fc9f424add456eb436005793d60d9959526dcaa52aded3f2084e4b68d6b0e0b
Yuh-Line Niou
polymarket · 0x8f3976d4104b6b3b4a716ef834d04e42411a4bec8dea79c58e5f5fa5241cf2b3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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