Will Theo Chino-Tavarez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
This contract is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$22K
Best sibling
Adriano Espaillat 70¢
Ticker
0xa103fd29…052e
Market snapshot
Theo Chino-Tavarez in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Theo Chino-Tavarez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?. The displayed quote is 0¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #4 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.
Outcome
Theo Chino-Tavarez
Family rank
#4 of 8
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
0¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Jun 23, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
8 outcomes · NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-70¢
Family leader
Adriano Espaillat 70¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0xa103fd29e21844a2c37dbae0ddd5abc05c9a899652f82b185b1cfd02d18e052e. Family volume: $22K.
Price history
0¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
0xa103fd29…052e
Event family
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Adriano Espaillat 70¢
Current share
9%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
polymarket · 0xa103fd29e21844a2c37dbae0ddd5abc05c9a899652f82b185b1cfd02d18e052e
Adriano Espaillat
polymarket · 0xba8526e4bf87c26c043d7048d364508d066117c173a91f2c56a82128fdc9102c
Oscar Romero
polymarket · 0x422eecd1eec8d501c70508387d11b1ca7550da75002dcdc448d4d99236df53a9
Darializa Avila Chevalier
polymarket · 0x09e25ccabb32e8d68fed95405ffe3975ffcb2af7de61b1de2f4eb22f1b375029
James Felton Keith
polymarket · 0x7406898e6ec1bfc478fb7c0b0ee2c425f651ad48700739caaa05d7ffada6c326
Megan Rodriguez
polymarket · 0x15dd98954f5a3d5bc21a6fe182d76bbde3e29af1465195df74a6f82c5be6fb2c
Matt Miller
polymarket · 0xc3a4cae673b27efa91532ddb90b398930318186e51e01ff0c8eb783a0dbcd4e7
Jaleel Amador
polymarket · 0xe93e70dba8f12060ef544e9ef6b0accc90d4e134994cabf7ac7a13c519524f90
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.