Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
This contract is priced at 37¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 36¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$60K
Best sibling
Beth Davidson 39¢
Ticker
0xed5dbf2e…2d34
Market snapshot
Cait Conley in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?. The displayed quote is 37¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $182. In the NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Cait Conley
Family rank
#2 of 8
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
37¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 23, 2026
24h volume
$182
Family context
8 outcomes · NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
0¢-39¢
Family leader
Beth Davidson 39¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Venue identifier: 0xed5dbf2e63a4222099bcbaf60c4c70333b29c2940d0f127c8da2ee0920632d34. Family volume: $60K.
Price history
37¢ current
−18¢Orderbook snapshot
36 / 37¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
0xed5dbf2e…2d34
Event family
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$60K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Beth Davidson 39¢
Current share
45%
Cait Conley
polymarket · 0xed5dbf2e63a4222099bcbaf60c4c70333b29c2940d0f127c8da2ee0920632d34
Beth Davidson
polymarket · 0xd81e304a53cfdac107189a8ab1fe862416c4f6de3a009b3243d057eb89fa8491
Peter Chatzky
polymarket · 0x7b7c97eb76261b7882ec6be8a513befda092962a2df22e264f3edb492c514cfc
John Sullivan
polymarket · 0x2bd667f7f1244c97b363c87f63d9ba201f6840fc45bbd8e88b9e8d2cb3a1ce04
Effie Phillips-Staley
polymarket · 0xcff21408bae4d1c6f2a293c097404979f083d2948af2fb09cf64efb0bbca6bb5
Mike Sacks
polymarket · 0x1d5ca2609a6f9d766ebe64d64880a26fb4d1011594ed9e24a778a46bb950e7f1
Jessica Reinmann
polymarket · 0x94f708df5fd7433abdd30a31d97aeeaeecb9b70a702b0fa5701a4fbc71ec0e70
John Cappello
polymarket · 0x6edfc36d561a2c62c0cc65cf87580abe9697b6078d0109f9543841df22f370d9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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