SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 23, 202645 days left

Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 23¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$1K volume
$4K liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$60K

Best sibling

Cait Conley 37¢

Ticker

0xcff21408…6bb5

Market snapshot

Effie Phillips-Staley in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Effie Phillips-Staley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $262. In the NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #3 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Effie Phillips-Staley

Family rank

#3 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

25¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 23, 2026

24h volume

$262

Family context

8 outcomes · NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-39¢

Family leader

Beth Davidson 39¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0xcff21408bae4d1c6f2a293c097404979f083d2948af2fb09cf64efb0bbca6bb5. Family volume: $60K.

Price history

25¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 28¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
23¢81
23¢32
22¢9
19¢50
17¢8
8¢200
8¢60
8¢33
AskSize
28¢7
28¢150
29¢20
29¢68
29¢30
30¢20
31¢20
31¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 23, 2026

Identifier

0xcff21408…6bb5

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2318.0%

IY (No)

286.1%

Adj IY

2318%

CRI

3

RV

2844%

VR

5.07

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

2318.0%
286.1%
Adj IY
2318%
3
RV
2844%
VR
5.07
IAR
4.6/h
Overround
0.0%

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