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Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?. This contract trades at 66¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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66¢
Bid/Ask 65/68¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $2,029.154·OI $6,698.912·Closes Jan 1, 2027·244d remaining
0x77a4012e47d506eee2a992032c11dab236bb56cac17a994bc2db3f7467cd97d1
7-day price372 snapshots · 20 regime
81¢66¢ current
Apr 1350¢May 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Indicators

IY (Yes) 76.9%
IY (No) 289.9%
Adj IY 145%
CRI 2
Overround 1.9%
LAS 0.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)76.9%
IY (No)289.9%
Adj IY145%
CRI2
Overround1.9%
LAS0.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Computed
5/1/2026, 1:37:36 PM
Observability mediumEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 1:23:37 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x77a4012e47d506eee2a992032c11dab236bb56cac17a994bc2db3f7467cd97d1 yes 100

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