SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027237 days left

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 73¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 72¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

73¢
$71K volume
$8K liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$5.9M

Best sibling

$500M 51¢

Ticker

0x77a4012e…97d1

Market snapshot

$100M in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 73¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $192. In the Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

$100M

Family rank

#2 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

73¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$192

Family context

8 outcomes · Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

3¢-77¢

Family leader

$100M 77¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: 0x77a4012e47d506eee2a992032c11dab236bb56cac17a994bc2db3f7467cd97d1. Family volume: $5.9M.

Price history

73¢ current

+9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

72 / 74¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
72¢20
71¢200
71¢1
68¢9
67¢44
66¢66
66¢17
66¢90
AskSize
74¢20
75¢727
85¢61
85¢85
86¢100
90¢8
93¢5
93¢248

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x77a4012e…97d1

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

57.0%

IY (No)

417.0%

Adj IY

208%

CRI

3

Overround

2.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

57.0%
417.0%
Adj IY
208%
3
Overround
2.1%

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