SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027237 days left

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

7¢
$715K volume
$30K liquidity
12% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$5.9M

Best sibling

$500M 50¢

Ticker

0xa75027dd…ca25

Market snapshot

$3B in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $34. In the Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #7 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

$3B

Family rank

#7 of 8

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$34

Family context

8 outcomes · Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

3¢-77¢

Family leader

$100M 77¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: 0xa75027ddbd883169b0fef4779c912106fe9460536240a1d613d175f04b75ca25. Family volume: $5.9M.

Price history

7¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 8¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
6¢65
5¢84
5¢11
5¢20
5¢510
5¢112
5¢5
4¢90
AskSize
8¢250
8¢7
8¢227
8¢17
9¢50
9¢90
9¢63
9¢6.7K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0xa75027dd…ca25

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2048.0%

IY (No)

11.6%

Adj IY

2048%

CRI

13

RV

980%

VR

2.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

2048.0%
11.6%
Adj IY
2048%
13
RV
980%
VR
2.00
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
2.1%

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