SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 19, 202610 days left

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

This contract is priced at 60¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 59¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

60¢
$10K volume
$28K liquidity
24% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$41K

Best sibling

Chris Rabb 39¢

Ticker

0xb8a3ea06…d850

Market snapshot

Sharif Street in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?. The displayed quote is 60¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $10K. In the PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Sharif Street

Family rank

#1 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

60¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 19, 2026

Reported volume

$10K

Family context

7 outcomes · PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

0¢-60¢

Family leader

Sharif Street 60¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0xb8a3ea065baae7536ca832160dd9851a06645b7de509eedec34be15c9e18d850. Family volume: $41K.

Price history

60¢ current

+19¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

59 / 61¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
59¢972
58¢915
56¢100
53¢100
51¢195
37¢118
36¢266
35¢87
AskSize
61¢582
62¢1.3K
63¢545
64¢186
66¢12
69¢100
71¢150
80¢793

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 19, 2026

Identifier

0xb8a3ea06…d850

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2494.4%

IY (No)

5612.5%

Adj IY

5613%

CRI

2

RV

281%

VR

0.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

2494.4%
5612.5%
Adj IY
5613%
2
RV
281%
VR
0.55
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
0.0%

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